Rayo Vallecano crestRayo VallecanovsAlmeria crestAlmeria

Rayo Vallecano 0-1 Almeria — Result, H2H & Form

La Liga 2023-2024Sun, 05 May 2024 19:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Rayo Vallecano53%

Tofiko53% / 24% / 23%
Market61% / 22% / 16%
  • Rayo Vallecano
  • Draw
  • Almeria

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Rayo Vallecano, rating it at 53.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Rayo Vallecano won 2 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Rayo Vallecano's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Almeria's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Rayo Vallecano's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 24 Sep 2026.

Rayo Vallecano: DWLWL

Almeria: WWWLL

Head-to-head

As of 24 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 2.25Avg goals
  • 25%Both scored
  • 25%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2024-05-05Rayo Vallecano vs Almeria0–1
2023-08-11Almeria vs Rayo Vallecano0–2
2023-02-06Rayo Vallecano vs Almeria2–0
2022-10-08Almeria vs Rayo Vallecano3–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Almeria?
Tofiko's model favours Rayo Vallecano (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Rayo Vallecano vs Almeria kick off?
Sun, 05 May 2024 19:00 GMT — La Liga 2023-2024.
What is the Rayo Vallecano vs Almeria head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legAlmeria 0-2 Rayo Vallecano11 Aug 2023 →