Rayo Vallecano crestRayo VallecanovsCadiz crestCadiz

Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Cadiz — Result, H2H & Form

La Liga 2023-2024Sat, 02 Mar 2024 15:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Rayo Vallecano51%

  • Rayo Vallecano 51%
  • Draw 27%
  • Cadiz 22%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Rayo Vallecano, rating it at 51.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Rayo Vallecano won 2 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

They arrive from very different football. Rayo Vallecano's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Cadiz's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Rayo Vallecano's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

Rayo Vallecano: LDLLW

Cadiz: DWDDL

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2024-03-02Rayo Vallecano vs Cadiz1–1
2023-09-27Cadiz vs Rayo Vallecano0–0
2023-02-25Cadiz vs Rayo Vallecano1–0
2022-10-22Rayo Vallecano vs Cadiz5–1
2022-03-06Cadiz vs Rayo Vallecano2–0
2021-09-26Rayo Vallecano vs Cadiz3–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Cadiz?
Tofiko's model favours Rayo Vallecano (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Rayo Vallecano vs Cadiz kick off?
Sat, 02 Mar 2024 15:15 GMT — La Liga 2023-2024.
What is the Rayo Vallecano vs Cadiz head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

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