Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Cadiz — Result, H2H & Form
La Liga 2023-2024Sat, 02 Mar 2024 15:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Rayo Vallecano51%
- Rayo Vallecano 51%
- Draw 27%
- Cadiz 22%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Rayo Vallecano, rating it at 51.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Rayo Vallecano won 2 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Rayo Vallecano's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Cadiz's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Rayo Vallecano's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Rayo Vallecano: LDLLW
Cadiz: DWDDL
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-02 | Rayo Vallecano vs Cadiz | 1–1 |
| 2023-09-27 | Cadiz vs Rayo Vallecano | 0–0 |
| 2023-02-25 | Cadiz vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–0 |
| 2022-10-22 | Rayo Vallecano vs Cadiz | 5–1 |
| 2022-03-06 | Cadiz vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–0 |
| 2021-09-26 | Rayo Vallecano vs Cadiz | 3–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Cadiz?
- Tofiko's model favours Rayo Vallecano (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Rayo Vallecano vs Cadiz kick off?
- Sat, 02 Mar 2024 15:15 GMT — La Liga 2023-2024.
- What is the Rayo Vallecano vs Cadiz head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.