Rayo Vallecanovs
Elche CFRayo Vallecano vs Elche CF Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSat, 24 Oct 2026 12:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Rayo Vallecano or draw82%
1X2: model backs Rayo Vallecano at 49% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Rayo Vallecano
- Draw
- Elche CF
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Rayo Vallecano or draw82%
- Draw or Elche CF51%
- Rayo Vallecano or Elche CF67%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.538%
- Under 2.562%
Both teams to score
- Rayo Vallecano, last 10 home games5 of 10
- Elche CF, last 10 away games9 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Rayo Vallecano, rating it at 49.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Rayo Vallecano won 3 of 6. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 11 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Rayo Vallecano: DDWLW
Elche CF: DWLDL
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 11 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 6Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 83%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | Rayo Vallecano vs Elche CF | 1–0 |
| 2025-12-21 | Elche CF vs Rayo Vallecano | 4–0 |
| 2023-04-29 | Elche vs Rayo Vallecano | 4–0 |
| 2022-10-03 | Rayo Vallecano vs Elche | 2–1 |
| 2022-02-18 | Elche vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–1 |
| 2021-10-17 | Rayo Vallecano vs Elche | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Elche CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Rayo Vallecano (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Rayo Vallecano vs Elche CF kick off?
- Sat, 24 Oct 2026 12:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Rayo Vallecano vs Elche CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 6 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.