Elche CF crestElche CFvsRayo Vallecano crestRayo Vallecano

Elche CF vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 24 Jan 2027 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Draw35%

Tofiko32% / 35% / 34%
  • Elche CF
  • Draw
  • Rayo Vallecano

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Elche CF or draw66%
  • Draw or Rayo Vallecano68%
  • Elche CF or Rayo Vallecano65%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.537%
  • Under 2.563%

Both teams to score

  • Elche CF, last 10 home games5 of 10
  • Rayo Vallecano, last 10 away games8 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks the draw, rating it at 34.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Elche CF won 1 of 6. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 103 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Elche CF: DWLDL

Rayo Vallecano: DDWLW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 103 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 6Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 83%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-03Rayo Vallecano vs Elche CF1–0
2025-12-21Elche CF vs Rayo Vallecano4–0
2023-04-29Elche vs Rayo Vallecano4–0
2022-10-03Rayo Vallecano vs Elche2–1
2022-02-18Elche vs Rayo Vallecano2–1
2021-10-17Rayo Vallecano vs Elche2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Elche CF vs Rayo Vallecano?
Tofiko's model favours Draw (35% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Elche CF vs Rayo Vallecano kick off?
Sun, 24 Jan 2027 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Elche CF vs Rayo Vallecano head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 6 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureRayo Vallecano vs Elche24 Oct 2026 →