Rayo Vallecanovs
Granada CFRayo Vallecano 2-1 Granada CF — Result, H2H & Form
La Liga 2023-2024Wed, 15 May 2024 17:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Rayo Vallecano55%
- Rayo Vallecano 55%
- Draw 24%
- Granada CF 20%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Rayo Vallecano, rating it at 55.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Rayo Vallecano won 3 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 55.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Rayo Vallecano's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Granada CF's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Rayo Vallecano's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Rayo Vallecano: LDLLW
Granada CF: WWDWL
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.25Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-15 | Rayo Vallecano vs Granada CF | 2–1 |
| 2023-08-21 | Granada CF vs Rayo Vallecano | 0–2 |
| 2022-04-03 | Granada CF vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–2 |
| 2021-08-29 | Rayo Vallecano vs Granada CF | 4–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Granada CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Rayo Vallecano (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Rayo Vallecano vs Granada CF kick off?
- Wed, 15 May 2024 17:30 GMT — La Liga 2023-2024.
- What is the Rayo Vallecano vs Granada CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.25 goals per game.