CD Leganesvs
Rayo VallecanoCD Leganes 0-1 Rayo Vallecano — Result, H2H & Form
La Liga 2024-2025Fri, 31 Jan 2025 20:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs CD Leganes40%
- CD Leganes 40%
- Draw 27%
- Rayo Vallecano 33%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick CD Leganes, rating it at 40.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and CD Leganes won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Rayo Vallecano's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. CD Leganes's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Rayo Vallecano's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
CD Leganes: WWDDW
Rayo Vallecano: LDLLW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-31 | CD Leganes vs Rayo Vallecano | 0–1 |
| 2024-09-28 | Rayo Vallecano vs CD Leganes | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win CD Leganes vs Rayo Vallecano?
- Tofiko's model favours CD Leganes (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does CD Leganes vs Rayo Vallecano kick off?
- Fri, 31 Jan 2025 20:00 GMT — La Liga 2024-2025.
- What is the CD Leganes vs Rayo Vallecano head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.