Real Madrid crestReal MadridvsCadiz crestCadiz

Real Madrid 3-0 Cadiz — Result, H2H & Form

La Liga 2023-2024Sat, 04 May 2024 14:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Real Madrid78%

  • Real Madrid 78%
  • Draw 16%
  • Cadiz 6%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Real Madrid, rating it at 78.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and Real Madrid won 5 of 8, with 2 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 16.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

Real Madrid: WWWWW

Cadiz: DWDDL

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 8Games
  • 2.13Avg goals
  • 25%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2024-05-04Real Madrid vs Cadiz3–0
2023-11-26Cadiz vs Real Madrid0–3
2023-04-15Cadiz vs Real Madrid0–2
2022-11-10Real Madrid vs Cadiz2–1
2022-05-15Cadiz vs Real Madrid1–1
2021-12-19Real Madrid vs Cadiz0–0
2021-04-21Cadiz vs Real Madrid0–3
2020-10-17Real Madrid vs Cadiz0–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Real Madrid vs Cadiz?
Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid (78% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Real Madrid vs Cadiz kick off?
Sat, 04 May 2024 14:15 GMT — La Liga 2023-2024.
What is the Real Madrid vs Cadiz head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.13 goals per game.

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