Real Madrid CFvs
UD Las PalmasReal Madrid CF 4-1 UD Las Palmas — Result, H2H & Form
La Liga 2024-2025Sun, 19 Jan 2025 15:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Real Madrid CF77%
- Real Madrid CF 77%
- Draw 17%
- UD Las Palmas 6%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Madrid CF, rating it at 77.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Real Madrid CF won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 77.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 16.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Real Madrid CF: WWWWW
UD Las Palmas: LWWWL
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-19 | Real Madrid CF vs UD Las Palmas | 4–1 |
| 2024-08-29 | UD Las Palmas vs Real Madrid CF | 1–1 |
| 2024-01-27 | Las Palmas vs Real Madrid | 1–2 |
| 2023-09-27 | Real Madrid vs Las Palmas | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Real Madrid CF vs UD Las Palmas?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid CF (77% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Real Madrid CF vs UD Las Palmas kick off?
- Sun, 19 Jan 2025 15:15 GMT — La Liga 2024-2025.
- What is the Real Madrid CF vs UD Las Palmas head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.