Real Madrid CFvs
CD LeganesReal Madrid CF 3-2 CD Leganes — Result, H2H & Form
La Liga 2024-2025Sat, 29 Mar 2025 20:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Real Madrid CF76%
- Real Madrid CF 76%
- Draw 17%
- CD Leganes 7%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Madrid CF, rating it at 76.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Real Madrid CF won all of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 76.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Real Madrid CF's last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 2. CD Leganes's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 16.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Real Madrid CF: WWWWW
CD Leganes: WWDDW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 4.33Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Real Madrid CF vs CD Leganes | 4–1 |
| 2025-03-29 | Real Madrid CF vs CD Leganes | 3–2 |
| 2024-11-24 | CD Leganes vs Real Madrid CF | 0–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Real Madrid CF vs CD Leganes?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid CF (76% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Real Madrid CF vs CD Leganes kick off?
- Sat, 29 Mar 2025 20:00 GMT — La Liga 2024-2025.
- What is the Real Madrid CF vs CD Leganes head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.33 goals per game.