Real Sociedadvs
AlmeriaReal Sociedad 2-2 Almeria — Result, H2H & Form
La Liga 2023-2024Sun, 14 Apr 2024 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Real Sociedad63%
- Real Sociedad 63%
- Draw 21%
- Almeria 16%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Sociedad, rating it at 62.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Real Sociedad won 3 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 62.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Real Sociedad: WLLLL
Almeria: LLWWW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-14 | Real Sociedad vs Almeria | 2–2 |
| 2023-11-11 | Almeria vs Real Sociedad | 1–3 |
| 2023-05-23 | Real Sociedad vs Almeria | 1–0 |
| 2023-01-08 | Almeria vs Real Sociedad | 0–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Real Sociedad vs Almeria?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Sociedad (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Real Sociedad vs Almeria kick off?
- Sun, 14 Apr 2024 19:00 GMT — La Liga 2023-2024.
- What is the Real Sociedad vs Almeria head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.