Real Sociedad crestReal SociedadvsCadiz crestCadiz

Real Sociedad 2-0 Cadiz — Result, H2H & Form

La Liga 2023-2024Fri, 15 Mar 2024 20:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Real Sociedad60%

  • Real Sociedad 60%
  • Draw 24%
  • Cadiz 16%
Market implied probability

The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.

Create a free account

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Real Sociedad, rating it at 59.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and Real Sociedad won 6 of 8, with 2 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 24.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

Real Sociedad: WLLLL

Cadiz: DWDDL

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 8Games
  • 1.75Avg goals
  • 13%Both scored
  • 25%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2024-03-15Real Sociedad vs Cadiz2–0
2023-12-21Cadiz vs Real Sociedad0–0
2023-03-03Real Sociedad vs Cadiz0–0
2022-08-14Cadiz vs Real Sociedad0–1
2022-05-12Real Sociedad vs Cadiz3–0
2021-09-12Cadiz vs Real Sociedad0–2
2021-02-07Real Sociedad vs Cadiz4–1
2020-11-22Cadiz vs Real Sociedad0–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Real Sociedad vs Cadiz?
Tofiko's model favours Real Sociedad (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Real Sociedad vs Cadiz kick off?
Fri, 15 Mar 2024 20:00 GMT — La Liga 2023-2024.
What is the Real Sociedad vs Cadiz head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 1.75 goals per game.

More predictions

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.