UD Las Palmas crestUD Las PalmasvsReal Sociedad crestReal Sociedad

UD Las Palmas 1-3 Real Sociedad — Result, H2H & Form

La Liga 2024-2025Sun, 06 Apr 2025 12:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Real Sociedad45%

  • UD Las Palmas 28%
  • Draw 27%
  • Real Sociedad 45%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Real Sociedad, rating it at 45.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and UD Las Palmas won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

UD Las Palmas: LWWWL

Real Sociedad: WLLLL

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 25%Both scored
  • 25%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-04-06UD Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad1–3
2024-12-15Real Sociedad vs UD Las Palmas0–0
2024-05-04Real Sociedad vs Las Palmas2–0
2023-08-25Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad0–0

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FAQ

Who will win UD Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad?
Tofiko's model favours Real Sociedad (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does UD Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad kick off?
Sun, 06 Apr 2025 12:00 GMT — La Liga 2024-2025.
What is the UD Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

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