Real Sociedad crestReal SociedadvsReal Valladolid crestReal Valladolid

Real Sociedad 2-1 Real Valladolid — Result, H2H & Form

La Liga 2024-2025Sat, 29 Mar 2025 13:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Real Sociedad70%

  • Real Sociedad 70%
  • Draw 20%
  • Real Valladolid 10%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Real Sociedad, rating it at 69.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Real Sociedad won 2 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 20.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

Real Sociedad: WLLLL

Real Valladolid: DLLWW

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-03-29Real Sociedad vs Real Valladolid2–1
2024-09-21Real Valladolid vs Real Sociedad0–0
2023-02-05Real Sociedad vs Valladolid0–1
2022-10-22Valladolid vs Real Sociedad1–0
2021-05-16Real Sociedad vs Valladolid4–1
2020-09-13Valladolid vs Real Sociedad1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Real Sociedad vs Real Valladolid?
Tofiko's model favours Real Sociedad (70% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Real Sociedad vs Real Valladolid kick off?
Sat, 29 Mar 2025 13:00 GMT — La Liga 2024-2025.
What is the Real Sociedad vs Real Valladolid head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

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