Sevilla crestSevillavsCadiz crestCadiz

Sevilla 0-1 Cadiz — Result, H2H & Form

La Liga 2023-2024Wed, 15 May 2024 17:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Sevilla55%

  • Sevilla 55%
  • Draw 24%
  • Cadiz 21%
Market implied probability

The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.

Create a free account

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Sevilla, rating it at 55.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and Sevilla won 5 of 8, with 2 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 24.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

Sevilla: LWWLW

Cadiz: DWDDL

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 8Games
  • 2.25Avg goals
  • 38%Both scored
  • 38%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2024-05-15Sevilla vs Cadiz0–1
2023-10-28Cadiz vs Sevilla2–2
2023-04-01Cadiz vs Sevilla0–2
2023-01-21Sevilla vs Cadiz1–0
2022-04-29Sevilla vs Cadiz1–1
2022-01-03Cadiz vs Sevilla0–1
2021-01-23Sevilla vs Cadiz3–0
2020-09-27Cadiz vs Sevilla1–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Sevilla vs Cadiz?
Tofiko's model favours Sevilla (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Sevilla vs Cadiz kick off?
Wed, 15 May 2024 17:30 GMT — La Liga 2023-2024.
What is the Sevilla vs Cadiz head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.

More predictions

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.