Valencia CF crestValencia CFvsAlmeria crestAlmeria

Valencia CF 2-1 Almeria — Result, H2H & Form

La Liga 2023-2024Sat, 03 Feb 2024 13:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Valencia CF57%

  • Valencia CF 57%
  • Draw 22%
  • Almeria 21%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Valencia CF, rating it at 56.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Valencia CF won 1 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 56.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 22.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

Valencia CF: LLDWL

Almeria: LLWWW

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2024-02-03Valencia CF vs Almeria2–1
2023-09-23Almeria vs Valencia CF2–2
2023-04-09Almeria vs Valencia CF2–1
2023-01-23Valencia CF vs Almeria2–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Valencia CF vs Almeria?
Tofiko's model favours Valencia CF (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Valencia CF vs Almeria kick off?
Sat, 03 Feb 2024 13:00 GMT — La Liga 2023-2024.
What is the Valencia CF vs Almeria head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

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