Valencia CF vs Real Madrid CF Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaSun, 08 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Real Madrid CF60%
- Valencia CF 16%
- Draw 24%
- Real Madrid CF 60%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Madrid CF, rating it at 60.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Valencia CF won 2 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 23.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Valencia CF: DWLWL
Real Madrid CF: DWWWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.30Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | Valencia CF vs Real Madrid CF | 0–2 |
| 2025-11-01 | Real Madrid CF vs Valencia CF | 4–0 |
| 2025-04-05 | Real Madrid CF vs Valencia CF | 1–2 |
| 2025-01-03 | Valencia CF vs Real Madrid CF | 1–2 |
| 2024-03-02 | Valencia CF vs Real Madrid | 2–2 |
| 2023-11-11 | Real Madrid vs Valencia CF | 5–1 |
| 2023-05-21 | Valencia CF vs Real Madrid | 1–0 |
| 2023-02-02 | Real Madrid vs Valencia CF | 2–0 |
| 2022-01-08 | Real Madrid vs Valencia CF | 4–1 |
| 2021-09-19 | Valencia CF vs Real Madrid | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Valencia CF vs Real Madrid CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid CF (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Valencia CF vs Real Madrid CF kick off?
- Sun, 08 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Valencia CF vs Real Madrid CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.30 goals per game.