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Valencia CF crestValencia CFvsReal Madrid CF crestReal Madrid CF

Valencia CF vs Real Madrid CF Prediction, H2H & Stats

La LigaSun, 08 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Real Madrid CF60%

Valencia CF 16%
Draw 24%
Real Madrid CF 60%
  • Valencia CF 16%
  • Draw 24%
  • Real Madrid CF 60%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Real Madrid CF, rating it at 60.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Valencia CF won 2 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 23.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Valencia CF: DWLWL

Real Madrid CF: DWWWW

Head-to-head

  • 10Games
  • 3.30Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 70%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-08Valencia CF vs Real Madrid CF0–2
2025-11-01Real Madrid CF vs Valencia CF4–0
2025-04-05Real Madrid CF vs Valencia CF1–2
2025-01-03Valencia CF vs Real Madrid CF1–2
2024-03-02Valencia CF vs Real Madrid2–2
2023-11-11Real Madrid vs Valencia CF5–1
2023-05-21Valencia CF vs Real Madrid1–0
2023-02-02Real Madrid vs Valencia CF2–0
2022-01-08Real Madrid vs Valencia CF4–1
2021-09-19Valencia CF vs Real Madrid1–2

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FAQ

Who will win Valencia CF vs Real Madrid CF?
Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid CF (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Valencia CF vs Real Madrid CF kick off?
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Valencia CF vs Real Madrid CF head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.30 goals per game.

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