Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 08 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Real Sociedad45%
Tofiko45% / 32% / 23%
- Real Sociedad
- Draw
- Rayo Vallecano
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Sociedad, rating it at 45.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Real Sociedad won 3 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Rayo Vallecano's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 21 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 48 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Real Sociedad: WLLWD
Rayo Vallecano: DWLWL
Head-to-head
As of 21 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 48 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.60Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad | 3–3 |
| 2025-10-05 | Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano | 0–1 |
| 2025-03-16 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad | 2–2 |
| 2024-08-18 | Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–2 |
| 2024-01-27 | Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano | 0–0 |
| 2023-10-29 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad | 2–2 |
| 2023-04-22 | Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–1 |
| 2023-01-21 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad | 0–2 |
| 2022-05-01 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad | 1–1 |
| 2021-08-22 | Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Sociedad (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano kick off?
- Sun, 08 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 5 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.