Real Sociedadvs
Rayo VallecanoReal Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaSun, 08 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Real Sociedad45%
- Real Sociedad 45%
- Draw 32%
- Rayo Vallecano 23%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Sociedad, rating it at 45.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Real Sociedad won 3 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Real Sociedad: LWWDL
Rayo Vallecano: WDLLW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.60Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad | 3–3 |
| 2025-10-05 | Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano | 0–1 |
| 2025-03-16 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad | 2–2 |
| 2024-08-18 | Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–2 |
| 2024-01-27 | Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano | 0–0 |
| 2023-10-29 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad | 2–2 |
| 2023-04-22 | Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–1 |
| 2023-01-21 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad | 0–2 |
| 2022-05-01 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad | 1–1 |
| 2021-08-22 | Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Sociedad (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano kick off?
- Sun, 08 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 5 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.