Real Sociedad crestReal SociedadvsRayo Vallecano crestRayo Vallecano

Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 08 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Real Sociedad45%

Tofiko45% / 32% / 23%
  • Real Sociedad
  • Draw
  • Rayo Vallecano

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Real Sociedad, rating it at 45.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Real Sociedad won 3 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

What to keep in mind

  • Rayo Vallecano's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 21 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 48 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Real Sociedad: WLLWD

Rayo Vallecano: DWLWL

Head-to-head

As of 21 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 48 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.60Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-26Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad3–3
2025-10-05Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano0–1
2025-03-16Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad2–2
2024-08-18Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano1–2
2024-01-27Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano0–0
2023-10-29Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad2–2
2023-04-22Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano2–1
2023-01-21Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad0–2
2022-05-01Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad1–1
2021-08-22Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano1–0

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FAQ

Who will win Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano?
Tofiko's model favours Real Sociedad (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano kick off?
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 5 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureRayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad11 Apr 2027 →