Real Sociedadvs
Rayo VallecanoReal Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 08 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Real Sociedad or draw77%
1X2: model backs Real Sociedad at 45% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Real Sociedad
- Draw
- Rayo Vallecano
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Real Sociedad or draw77%
- Draw or Rayo Vallecano55%
- Real Sociedad or Rayo Vallecano68%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.537%
- Under 2.563%
Both teams to score
- Real Sociedad, last 10 home games6 of 10
- Rayo Vallecano, last 10 away games8 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Sociedad, rating it at 45.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Real Sociedad won 3 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 26 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Real Sociedad: WLWLL
Rayo Vallecano: DDWLW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 26 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.60Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad | 3–3 |
| 2025-10-05 | Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano | 0–1 |
| 2025-03-16 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad | 2–2 |
| 2024-08-18 | Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–2 |
| 2024-01-27 | Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano | 0–0 |
| 2023-10-29 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad | 2–2 |
| 2023-04-22 | Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–1 |
| 2023-01-21 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad | 0–2 |
| 2022-05-01 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad | 1–1 |
| 2021-08-22 | Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Sociedad (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano kick off?
- Sun, 08 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 5 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.