Real Valladolidvs
Rayo VallecanoReal Valladolid 1-2 Rayo Vallecano — Result, H2H & Form
La Liga 2024-2025Sat, 05 Oct 2024 16:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Rayo Vallecano49%
- Real Valladolid
- Draw
- Rayo Vallecano
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Rayo Vallecano, rating it at 49.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Real Valladolid won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Rayo Vallecano's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Real Valladolid's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Rayo Vallecano's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 24 Sep 2026.
Real Valladolid: DLWDL
Rayo Vallecano: DWLWL
Head-to-head
As of 24 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-07 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Valladolid | 1–0 |
| 2024-10-05 | Real Valladolid vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–2 |
| 2023-05-04 | Rayo Vallecano vs Valladolid | 2–1 |
| 2023-01-14 | Valladolid vs Rayo Vallecano | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Real Valladolid vs Rayo Vallecano?
- Tofiko's model favours Rayo Vallecano (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Real Valladolid vs Rayo Vallecano kick off?
- Sat, 05 Oct 2024 16:30 GMT — La Liga 2024-2025.
- What is the Real Valladolid vs Rayo Vallecano head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.