UD Las Palmasvs
Villarreal CFUD Las Palmas 1-2 Villarreal CF — Result, H2H & Form
La Liga 2024-2025Sat, 08 Feb 2025 17:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Villarreal CF55%
- UD Las Palmas 21%
- Draw 23%
- Villarreal CF 55%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Villarreal CF, rating it at 55.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and UD Las Palmas won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 55.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
UD Las Palmas: LWWWL
Villarreal CF: LDDWW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.25Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-08 | UD Las Palmas vs Villarreal CF | 1–2 |
| 2024-09-30 | Villarreal CF vs UD Las Palmas | 3–1 |
| 2024-01-13 | Las Palmas vs Villarreal | 3–0 |
| 2023-10-08 | Villarreal vs Las Palmas | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win UD Las Palmas vs Villarreal CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Villarreal CF (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does UD Las Palmas vs Villarreal CF kick off?
- Sat, 08 Feb 2025 17:30 GMT — La Liga 2024-2025.
- What is the UD Las Palmas vs Villarreal CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.25 goals per game.