Villarreal CF crestVillarreal CFvsReal Valladolid crestReal Valladolid

Villarreal CF 5-1 Real Valladolid — Result, H2H & Form

La Liga 2024-2025Sat, 01 Feb 2025 15:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Villarreal CF78%

  • Villarreal CF 78%
  • Draw 16%
  • Real Valladolid 6%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Villarreal CF, rating it at 77.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Villarreal CF won 2 of 6. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 16.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

Villarreal CF: LDDWW

Real Valladolid: DLLWW

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 3.17Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-02-01Villarreal CF vs Real Valladolid5–1
2024-10-26Real Valladolid vs Villarreal CF1–2
2023-04-15Villarreal vs Valladolid1–2
2022-08-13Valladolid vs Villarreal0–3
2021-05-13Valladolid vs Villarreal0–2
2020-11-02Villarreal vs Valladolid2–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Villarreal CF vs Real Valladolid?
Tofiko's model favours Villarreal CF (78% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Villarreal CF vs Real Valladolid kick off?
Sat, 01 Feb 2025 15:15 GMT — La Liga 2024-2025.
What is the Villarreal CF vs Real Valladolid head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.17 goals per game.

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