AFC Wimbledonvs
Barnsley F.C.AFC Wimbledon vs Barnsley F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL League OneSat, 28 Nov 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Barnsley F.C.42%
- AFC Wimbledon
- Draw
- Barnsley F.C.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- AFC Wimbledon or draw58%
- Draw or Barnsley F.C.67%
- AFC Wimbledon or Barnsley F.C.75%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.560%
- Under 2.540%
Both teams to score
- AFC Wimbledon, last 10 home games2 of 10
- Barnsley F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (523 games)54%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Barnsley F.C., rating it at 41.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and AFC Wimbledon won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Barnsley F.C.'s last 5 produced 24 goals — 4.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. AFC Wimbledon's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Barnsley F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 45 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
AFC Wimbledon: LDDDW
Barnsley F.C.: LLLDD
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 45 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Barnsley F.C. vs AFC Wimbledon | 3–3 |
| 2025-08-23 | AFC Wimbledon vs Barnsley F.C. | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Barnsley F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Barnsley F.C. (42% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does AFC Wimbledon vs Barnsley F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 28 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL League One.
- What is the AFC Wimbledon vs Barnsley F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.