Barnsley F.C. crestBarnsley F.C.vsAFC Wimbledon crestAFC Wimbledon

Barnsley F.C. vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction, H2H & Form

EFL League OneSat, 01 May 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Barnsley F.C.56%

Tofiko56% / 23% / 21%
  • Barnsley F.C.
  • Draw
  • AFC Wimbledon

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Barnsley F.C. or draw79%
  • Draw or AFC Wimbledon44%
  • Barnsley F.C. or AFC Wimbledon77%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.561%
  • Under 2.539%

Both teams to score

  • Barnsley F.C., last 10 home games8 of 10
  • AFC Wimbledon, last 10 away games6 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (523 games)54%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Barnsley F.C., rating it at 55.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Barnsley F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Barnsley F.C.'s last 5 produced 24 goals — 4.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. AFC Wimbledon's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Barnsley F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 199 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Barnsley F.C.: LLLDD

AFC Wimbledon: LDDDW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 199 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 2Games
  • 4.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-14Barnsley F.C. vs AFC Wimbledon3–3
2025-08-23AFC Wimbledon vs Barnsley F.C.2–0

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FAQ

Who will win Barnsley F.C. vs AFC Wimbledon?
Tofiko's model favours Barnsley F.C. (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Barnsley F.C. vs AFC Wimbledon kick off?
Sat, 01 May 2027 14:00 GMT — EFL League One.
What is the Barnsley F.C. vs AFC Wimbledon head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureAFC Wimbledon vs Barnsley28 Nov 2026 →