Barnsley F.C. crestBarnsley F.C.vsBurton Albion F.C. crestBurton Albion F.C.

Barnsley F.C. vs Burton Albion F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

EFL League OneTue, 29 Dec 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Barnsley F.C.46%

Tofiko46% / 26% / 28%
  • Barnsley F.C.
  • Draw
  • Burton Albion F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Barnsley F.C. or draw72%
  • Draw or Burton Albion F.C.54%
  • Barnsley F.C. or Burton Albion F.C.74%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.553%
  • Under 2.547%

Both teams to score

  • Barnsley F.C., last 10 home games8 of 10
  • Burton Albion F.C., last 10 away games5 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (523 games)54%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Barnsley F.C., rating it at 46.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Barnsley F.C. won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Barnsley F.C.'s last 5 produced 24 goals — 4.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Burton Albion F.C.'s 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Barnsley F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 76 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Barnsley F.C.: LLLDD

Burton Albion F.C.: LDLWD

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 76 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 2Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-03Burton Albion F.C. vs Barnsley F.C.1–1
2025-08-09Barnsley F.C. vs Burton Albion F.C.3–2

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FAQ

Who will win Barnsley F.C. vs Burton Albion F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Barnsley F.C. (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Barnsley F.C. vs Burton Albion F.C. kick off?
Tue, 29 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT — EFL League One.
What is the Barnsley F.C. vs Burton Albion F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureBurton Albion vs Barnsley3 Apr 2027 →