Burton Albion F.C.vs
Barnsley F.C.Burton Albion F.C. vs Barnsley F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL League OneSat, 03 Apr 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Burton Albion F.C.41%
- Burton Albion F.C.
- Draw
- Barnsley F.C.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Burton Albion F.C. or draw68%
- Draw or Barnsley F.C.59%
- Burton Albion F.C. or Barnsley F.C.73%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.553%
- Under 2.547%
Both teams to score
- Burton Albion F.C., last 10 home games7 of 10
- Barnsley F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (523 games)54%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Burton Albion F.C., rating it at 40.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Burton Albion F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Barnsley F.C.'s last 5 produced 24 goals — 4.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Burton Albion F.C.'s 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Barnsley F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 171 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Burton Albion F.C.: LDLWD
Barnsley F.C.: LLLDD
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 171 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | Burton Albion F.C. vs Barnsley F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-08-09 | Barnsley F.C. vs Burton Albion F.C. | 3–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Burton Albion F.C. vs Barnsley F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Burton Albion F.C. (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Burton Albion F.C. vs Barnsley F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 03 Apr 2027 14:00 GMT — EFL League One.
- What is the Burton Albion F.C. vs Barnsley F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.