Milton Keynes Dons crestMilton Keynes DonsvsNotts County F.C. crestNotts County F.C.

Milton Keynes Dons vs Notts County F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

EFL League OneSat, 28 Nov 2026 12:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Milton Keynes Dons52%

Tofiko52% / 25% / 23%
  • Milton Keynes Dons
  • Draw
  • Notts County F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Milton Keynes Dons or draw77%
  • Draw or Notts County F.C.48%
  • Milton Keynes Dons or Notts County F.C.75%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.553%
  • Under 2.547%

Both teams to score

  • Milton Keynes Dons, last 10 home games6 of 10
  • Notts County F.C., last 10 away games5 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (523 games)54%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Milton Keynes Dons, rating it at 52.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Milton Keynes Dons won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Milton Keynes Dons's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 45 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Milton Keynes Dons: LWWDD

Notts County F.C.: WLWLL

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 45 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 2Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-12-29Milton Keynes Dons vs Notts County F.C.1–1
2025-12-09Notts County F.C. vs Milton Keynes Dons3–2

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FAQ

Who will win Milton Keynes Dons vs Notts County F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Milton Keynes Dons (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Milton Keynes Dons vs Notts County F.C. kick off?
Sat, 28 Nov 2026 12:30 GMT — EFL League One.
What is the Milton Keynes Dons vs Notts County F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

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Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureNotts County vs Milton Keynes Dons1 May 2027 →