Notts County F.C.vs
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County F.C. vs Milton Keynes Dons Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL League OneSat, 01 May 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Milton Keynes Dons38%
- Notts County F.C.
- Draw
- Milton Keynes Dons
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Notts County F.C. or draw62%
- Draw or Milton Keynes Dons66%
- Notts County F.C. or Milton Keynes Dons73%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.552%
- Under 2.548%
Both teams to score
- Notts County F.C., last 10 home games6 of 10
- Milton Keynes Dons, last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (523 games)54%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Milton Keynes Dons, rating it at 38.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Notts County F.C. won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Milton Keynes Dons's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 199 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Notts County F.C.: WLWLL
Milton Keynes Dons: LWWDD
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 199 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | Milton Keynes Dons vs Notts County F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-12-09 | Notts County F.C. vs Milton Keynes Dons | 3–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Notts County F.C. vs Milton Keynes Dons?
- Tofiko's model favours Milton Keynes Dons (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Notts County F.C. vs Milton Keynes Dons kick off?
- Sat, 01 May 2027 14:00 GMT — EFL League One.
- What is the Notts County F.C. vs Milton Keynes Dons head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.