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Chesterfield F.C. crestChesterfield F.C.vsColchester United F.C. crestColchester United F.C.

Chesterfield F.C. vs Colchester United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

EFL League TwoTue, 20 Oct 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Chesterfield F.C.45%

Chesterfield F.C. 45%
Draw 28%
Colchester United F.C. 26%
  • Chesterfield F.C. 45%
  • Draw 28%
  • Colchester United F.C. 26%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Chesterfield F.C., rating it at 45.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Chesterfield F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Colchester United F.C.'s last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 4. Chesterfield F.C.'s 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Chesterfield F.C.: DLDDL

Colchester United F.C.: LLDLW

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 5.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-03Chesterfield F.C. vs Colchester United F.C.3–0
2025-10-04Colchester United F.C. vs Chesterfield F.C.6–2

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FAQ

Who will win Chesterfield F.C. vs Colchester United F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Chesterfield F.C. (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Chesterfield F.C. vs Colchester United F.C. kick off?
Tue, 20 Oct 2026 18:45 GMT — EFL League Two.
What is the Chesterfield F.C. vs Colchester United F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 5.50 goals per game.

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