Rochdale A.F.C.vs
Grimsby Town F.C.Rochdale A.F.C. vs Grimsby Town F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL League TwoTue, 20 Oct 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Grimsby Town F.C.45%
- Rochdale A.F.C. 30%
- Draw 26%
- Grimsby Town F.C. 45%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Grimsby Town F.C., rating it at 44.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The model puts the draw at 25.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Rochdale A.F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Rochdale A.F.C.: DLDDL
Grimsby Town F.C.: LWDWW
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Rochdale A.F.C. vs Grimsby Town F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Grimsby Town F.C. (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Rochdale A.F.C. vs Grimsby Town F.C. kick off?
- Tue, 20 Oct 2026 18:45 GMT — EFL League Two.