Colchester United F.C.vs
GillinghamColchester United F.C. vs Gillingham Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL League TwoSat, 14 Nov 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Colchester United F.C.61%
- Colchester United F.C. 61%
- Draw 23%
- Gillingham 16%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Colchester United F.C., rating it at 60.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Colchester United F.C. won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 60.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Colchester United F.C.'s last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 4. Gillingham's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Colchester United F.C.: LLDLW
Gillingham: WWLWW
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 1.00Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | Gillingham vs Colchester United F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-12-06 | Colchester United F.C. vs Gillingham | 0–0 |
| 2021-09-07 | Colchester United vs Gillingham | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Colchester United F.C. vs Gillingham?
- Tofiko's model favours Colchester United F.C. (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Colchester United F.C. vs Gillingham kick off?
- Sat, 14 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL League Two.
- What is the Colchester United F.C. vs Gillingham head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.