Crewe Alexandra F.C.vs
Newport County A.F.C.Crewe Alexandra F.C. vs Newport County A.F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL League TwoSat, 14 Nov 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Crewe Alexandra F.C.63%
- Crewe Alexandra F.C.
- Draw
- Newport County A.F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Crewe Alexandra F.C. or draw84%
- Draw or Newport County A.F.C.37%
- Crewe Alexandra F.C. or Newport County A.F.C.78%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.556%
- Under 2.544%
Both teams to score
- Crewe Alexandra F.C., last 10 home games8 of 10
- Newport County A.F.C., last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (529 games)52%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Crewe Alexandra F.C., rating it at 62.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Crewe Alexandra F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 32 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Crewe Alexandra F.C.: WDWDW
Newport County A.F.C.: WDDWW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 32 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | Newport County A.F.C. vs Crewe Alexandra F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-12-10 | Crewe Alexandra F.C. vs Newport County A.F.C. | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Crewe Alexandra F.C. vs Newport County A.F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Crewe Alexandra F.C. (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Crewe Alexandra F.C. vs Newport County A.F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 14 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL League Two.
- What is the Crewe Alexandra F.C. vs Newport County A.F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.