AJ Auxerre crestAJ AuxerrevsMontpellier HSC crestMontpellier HSC

AJ Auxerre 1-0 Montpellier HSC — Result, H2H & Form

Ligue 1 2024-2025Sun, 30 Mar 2025 15:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs AJ Auxerre48%

Tofiko48% / 24% / 28%
Market50% / 25% / 24%
  • AJ Auxerre
  • Draw
  • Montpellier HSC

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick AJ Auxerre, rating it at 48.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and AJ Auxerre won 2 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. AJ Auxerre's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Montpellier HSC's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.

Recent form

As of 25 Sep 2026.

AJ Auxerre: WWLLL

Montpellier HSC: DWLDW

Head-to-head

As of 25 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 2.75Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-03-30AJ Auxerre vs Montpellier HSC1–0
2024-09-22Montpellier HSC vs AJ Auxerre3–2
2023-01-29AJ Auxerre vs Montpellier HSC0–2
2022-08-21Montpellier HSC vs AJ Auxerre1–2

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FAQ

Who will win AJ Auxerre vs Montpellier HSC?
Tofiko's model favours AJ Auxerre (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does AJ Auxerre vs Montpellier HSC kick off?
Sun, 30 Mar 2025 15:15 GMT — Ligue 1 2024-2025.
What is the AJ Auxerre vs Montpellier HSC head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legMontpellier 3-2 Auxerre22 Sept 2024 →