Montpellier HSC 3-2 AJ Auxerre — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1 2024-2025Sun, 22 Sep 2024 15:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Montpellier HSC43%
- Montpellier HSC
- Draw
- AJ Auxerre
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Montpellier HSC, rating it at 42.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Montpellier HSC won 2 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. AJ Auxerre's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Montpellier HSC's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
Recent form
As of 25 Sep 2026.
Montpellier HSC: DWLDW
AJ Auxerre: WWLLL
Head-to-head
As of 25 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-30 | AJ Auxerre vs Montpellier HSC | 1–0 |
| 2024-09-22 | Montpellier HSC vs AJ Auxerre | 3–2 |
| 2023-01-29 | AJ Auxerre vs Montpellier HSC | 0–2 |
| 2022-08-21 | Montpellier HSC vs AJ Auxerre | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Montpellier HSC vs AJ Auxerre?
- Tofiko's model favours Montpellier HSC (43% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Montpellier HSC vs AJ Auxerre kick off?
- Sun, 22 Sep 2024 15:00 GMT — Ligue 1 2024-2025.
- What is the Montpellier HSC vs AJ Auxerre head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.