AJ Auxerrevs
Montpellier HSCAJ Auxerre 1-0 Montpellier HSC — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1 2024-2025Sun, 30 Mar 2025 15:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AJ Auxerre48%
- AJ Auxerre 48%
- Draw 24%
- Montpellier HSC 28%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick AJ Auxerre, rating it at 48.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and AJ Auxerre won 2 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
AJ Auxerre: LLWDD
Montpellier HSC: DWWDW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-30 | AJ Auxerre vs Montpellier HSC | 1–0 |
| 2024-09-22 | Montpellier HSC vs AJ Auxerre | 3–2 |
| 2023-01-29 | AJ Auxerre vs Montpellier HSC | 0–2 |
| 2022-08-21 | Montpellier HSC vs AJ Auxerre | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AJ Auxerre vs Montpellier HSC?
- Tofiko's model favours AJ Auxerre (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AJ Auxerre vs Montpellier HSC kick off?
- Sun, 30 Mar 2025 15:15 GMT — Ligue 1 2024-2025.
- What is the AJ Auxerre vs Montpellier HSC head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.