ES Troyes ACvs
Olympique LyonnaisES Troyes AC vs Olympique Lyonnais Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Olympique Lyonnais62%
- ES Troyes AC 15%
- Draw 23%
- Olympique Lyonnais 62%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Olympique Lyonnais, rating it at 61.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and ES Troyes AC won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 61.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Olympique Lyonnais's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
ES Troyes AC: WWWWL
Olympique Lyonnais: LWLWW
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-02-04 | ESTAC Troyes vs Lyonnais | 1–3 |
| 2022-08-19 | Lyonnais vs ESTAC Troyes | 4–1 |
| 2022-01-16 | ESTAC Troyes vs Lyonnais | 0–1 |
| 2021-09-22 | Lyonnais vs ESTAC Troyes | 3–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win ES Troyes AC vs Olympique Lyonnais?
- Tofiko's model favours Olympique Lyonnais (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does ES Troyes AC vs Olympique Lyonnais kick off?
- Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:59 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the ES Troyes AC vs Olympique Lyonnais head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.