AS Monaco FCvs
AJ AuxerreAS Monaco FC vs AJ Auxerre Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AS Monaco FC65%
- AS Monaco FC 65%
- Draw 22%
- AJ Auxerre 13%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick AS Monaco FC, rating it at 64.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and AS Monaco FC won 3 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 22.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AS Monaco FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
AS Monaco FC: DLWLL
AJ Auxerre: DLWWW
Head-to-head
- 6Games
- 4.33Avg goals
- 83%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | AS Monaco FC vs AJ Auxerre | 2–2 |
| 2025-09-13 | AJ Auxerre vs AS Monaco FC | 1–2 |
| 2025-02-01 | AS Monaco FC vs AJ Auxerre | 4–2 |
| 2024-09-14 | AJ Auxerre vs AS Monaco FC | 0–3 |
| 2023-02-01 | AS Monaco vs AJ Auxerre | 3–2 |
| 2022-12-28 | AJ Auxerre vs AS Monaco | 2–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win AS Monaco FC vs AJ Auxerre?
- Tofiko's model favours AS Monaco FC (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AS Monaco FC vs AJ Auxerre kick off?
- Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the AS Monaco FC vs AJ Auxerre head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 4.33 goals per game.