OGC Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Ligue 1Sat, 21 Nov 2026 16:15 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Paris Saint-Germain FC to win59%
1X2: model backs Paris Saint-Germain FC at 59%.
- OGC Nice
- Draw
- Paris Saint-Germain FC
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- OGC Nice or draw41%
- Draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC84%
- OGC Nice or Paris Saint-Germain FC75%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.553%
- Under 2.547%
Both teams to score
- OGC Nice, last 10 home games7 of 10
- Paris Saint-Germain FC, last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (298 games)53%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Paris Saint-Germain FC, rating it at 59.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and OGC Nice won 3 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 39 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
OGC Nice: WWLDL
Paris Saint-Germain FC: WWWWL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 39 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | OGC Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain FC | 0–4 |
| 2025-11-01 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs OGC Nice | 1–0 |
| 2025-04-25 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs OGC Nice | 1–3 |
| 2024-10-06 | OGC Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain FC | 1–1 |
| 2024-05-15 | OGC Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain | 1–2 |
| 2023-09-15 | Paris Saint-Germain vs OGC Nice | 2–3 |
| 2023-04-08 | OGC Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain | 0–2 |
| 2022-10-01 | Paris Saint-Germain vs OGC Nice | 2–1 |
| 2022-03-05 | OGC Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain | 1–0 |
| 2021-12-01 | Paris Saint-Germain vs OGC Nice | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win OGC Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Paris Saint-Germain FC (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does OGC Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain FC kick off?
- Sat, 21 Nov 2026 16:15 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the OGC Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.