OGC Nicevs
Paris Saint-Germain FCOGC Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Paris Saint-Germain FC59%
- OGC Nice 16%
- Draw 25%
- Paris Saint-Germain FC 59%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Paris Saint-Germain FC, rating it at 59.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and OGC Nice won 3 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. OGC Nice's last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 3. Paris Saint-Germain FC's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
OGC Nice: LLWWW
Paris Saint-Germain FC: DLWWD
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | OGC Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain FC | 0–4 |
| 2025-11-01 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs OGC Nice | 1–0 |
| 2025-04-25 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs OGC Nice | 1–3 |
| 2024-10-06 | OGC Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain FC | 1–1 |
| 2024-05-15 | OGC Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain | 1–2 |
| 2023-09-15 | Paris Saint-Germain vs OGC Nice | 2–3 |
| 2023-04-08 | OGC Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain | 0–2 |
| 2022-10-01 | Paris Saint-Germain vs OGC Nice | 2–1 |
| 2022-03-05 | OGC Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain | 1–0 |
| 2021-12-01 | Paris Saint-Germain vs OGC Nice | 0–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win OGC Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Paris Saint-Germain FC (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does OGC Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain FC kick off?
- Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the OGC Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.