OGC Nice crestOGC NicevsParis Saint-Germain FC crestParis Saint-Germain FC

OGC Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain FC Prediction, H2H & Form

Ligue 1Sat, 21 Nov 2026 16:15 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Paris Saint-Germain FC to win59%

1X2: model backs Paris Saint-Germain FC at 59%.

Tofiko16% / 25% / 59%
  • OGC Nice
  • Draw
  • Paris Saint-Germain FC

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • OGC Nice or draw41%
  • Draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC84%
  • OGC Nice or Paris Saint-Germain FC75%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.553%
  • Under 2.547%

Both teams to score

  • OGC Nice, last 10 home games7 of 10
  • Paris Saint-Germain FC, last 10 away games6 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (298 games)53%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Paris Saint-Germain FC, rating it at 59.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and OGC Nice won 3 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 39 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

OGC Nice: WWLDL

Paris Saint-Germain FC: WWWWL

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 39 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-21OGC Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain FC0–4
2025-11-01Paris Saint-Germain FC vs OGC Nice1–0
2025-04-25Paris Saint-Germain FC vs OGC Nice1–3
2024-10-06OGC Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain FC1–1
2024-05-15OGC Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain1–2
2023-09-15Paris Saint-Germain vs OGC Nice2–3
2023-04-08OGC Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain0–2
2022-10-01Paris Saint-Germain vs OGC Nice2–1
2022-03-05OGC Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain1–0
2021-12-01Paris Saint-Germain vs OGC Nice0–0

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FAQ

Who will win OGC Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain FC?
Tofiko's model favours Paris Saint-Germain FC (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does OGC Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain FC kick off?
Sat, 21 Nov 2026 16:15 GMT — Ligue 1.
What is the OGC Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain FC head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureParis Saint Germain vs Nice16 May 2027 →