ES Troyes ACvs
AS Monaco FCES Troyes AC vs AS Monaco FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sat, 23 Jan 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AS Monaco FC64%
- ES Troyes AC 14%
- Draw 22%
- AS Monaco FC 64%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick AS Monaco FC, rating it at 63.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and ES Troyes AC won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 63.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- AS Monaco FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
ES Troyes AC: WWWWL
AS Monaco FC: DLWLL
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-05 | ESTAC Troyes vs AS Monaco | 2–2 |
| 2022-08-31 | AS Monaco vs ESTAC Troyes | 2–4 |
| 2022-04-10 | AS Monaco vs ESTAC Troyes | 2–1 |
| 2021-08-29 | ESTAC Troyes vs AS Monaco | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win ES Troyes AC vs AS Monaco FC?
- Tofiko's model favours AS Monaco FC (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does ES Troyes AC vs AS Monaco FC kick off?
- Sat, 23 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the ES Troyes AC vs AS Monaco FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.