ES Troyes ACvs
Stade Rennais FCES Troyes AC vs Stade Rennais FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sat, 02 Jan 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Stade Rennais FC61%
- ES Troyes AC 15%
- Draw 24%
- Stade Rennais FC 61%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Stade Rennais FC, rating it at 61.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and ES Troyes AC won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 61.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
ES Troyes AC: WWWWL
Stade Rennais FC: WWLLW
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 3.75Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-14 | Stade Rennes FC vs ESTAC Troyes | 4–0 |
| 2022-09-04 | ESTAC Troyes vs Stade Rennes FC | 1–1 |
| 2022-02-20 | Stade Rennes FC vs ESTAC Troyes | 4–1 |
| 2021-10-31 | ESTAC Troyes vs Stade Rennes FC | 2–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win ES Troyes AC vs Stade Rennais FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Stade Rennais FC (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does ES Troyes AC vs Stade Rennais FC kick off?
- Sat, 02 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the ES Troyes AC vs Stade Rennais FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.75 goals per game.