FC Lorientvs
Olympique de MarseilleFC Lorient vs Olympique de Marseille Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sat, 23 Jan 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Olympique de Marseille49%
- FC Lorient 25%
- Draw 26%
- Olympique de Marseille 49%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Olympique de Marseille, rating it at 49.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Lorient won 1 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 25.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Lorient: WWWLW
Olympique de Marseille: WLWWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.40Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | FC Lorient vs Olympique de Marseille | 2–0 |
| 2025-09-12 | Olympique de Marseille vs FC Lorient | 4–0 |
| 2024-05-12 | Marseille vs FC Lorient | 3–1 |
| 2023-12-10 | FC Lorient vs Marseille | 2–4 |
| 2023-04-09 | FC Lorient vs Marseille | 0–0 |
| 2023-01-14 | Marseille vs FC Lorient | 3–1 |
| 2022-05-08 | FC Lorient vs Marseille | 0–3 |
| 2021-10-17 | Marseille vs FC Lorient | 4–1 |
| 2021-04-17 | Marseille vs FC Lorient | 3–2 |
| 2020-10-24 | FC Lorient vs Marseille | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Lorient vs Olympique de Marseille?
- Tofiko's model favours Olympique de Marseille (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Lorient vs Olympique de Marseille kick off?
- Sat, 23 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the FC Lorient vs Olympique de Marseille head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.40 goals per game.