FC Lorient 1-1 FC Metz — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1Sun, 04 Jan 2026 16:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Lorient56%
Tofiko56% / 23% / 21%
Market55% / 25% / 20%
- FC Lorient
- Draw
- FC Metz
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Lorient, rating it at 55.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and FC Lorient won 4 of 8, with 1 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 24 Sep 2026.
FC Lorient: LDWLD
FC Metz: DLWDD
Head-to-head
As of 24 Sep 2026.
- 8Games
- 3.38Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | FC Metz vs FC Lorient | 0–4 |
| 2026-01-04 | FC Lorient vs FC Metz | 1–1 |
| 2024-02-04 | FC Metz vs FC Lorient | 1–2 |
| 2023-11-26 | FC Lorient vs FC Metz | 2–3 |
| 2022-04-20 | FC Lorient vs FC Metz | 1–0 |
| 2021-12-12 | FC Metz vs FC Lorient | 4–1 |
| 2021-05-16 | FC Lorient vs FC Metz | 2–1 |
| 2020-10-04 | FC Metz vs FC Lorient | 3–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Lorient vs FC Metz?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Lorient (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Lorient vs FC Metz kick off?
- Sun, 04 Jan 2026 16:15 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the FC Lorient vs FC Metz head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.38 goals per game.