FC Lorient crestFC LorientvsFC Metz crestFC Metz

FC Lorient 1-1 FC Metz — Result, H2H & Form

Ligue 1Sun, 04 Jan 2026 16:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Lorient56%

Tofiko56% / 23% / 21%
Market55% / 25% / 20%
  • FC Lorient
  • Draw
  • FC Metz

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Lorient, rating it at 55.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and FC Lorient won 4 of 8, with 1 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 24 Sep 2026.

FC Lorient: LDWLD

FC Metz: DLWDD

Head-to-head

As of 24 Sep 2026.

  • 8Games
  • 3.38Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 75%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-10FC Metz vs FC Lorient0–4
2026-01-04FC Lorient vs FC Metz1–1
2024-02-04FC Metz vs FC Lorient1–2
2023-11-26FC Lorient vs FC Metz2–3
2022-04-20FC Lorient vs FC Metz1–0
2021-12-12FC Metz vs FC Lorient4–1
2021-05-16FC Lorient vs FC Metz2–1
2020-10-04FC Metz vs FC Lorient3–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win FC Lorient vs FC Metz?
Tofiko's model favours FC Lorient (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Lorient vs FC Metz kick off?
Sun, 04 Jan 2026 16:15 GMT — Ligue 1.
What is the FC Lorient vs FC Metz head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.38 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legMetz 0-4 Lorient10 May 2026 →