FC Metzvs
FC LorientFC Metz vs FC Lorient Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sun, 10 May 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: FC Metz 0–4 FC Lorient
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Lorient42%
- FC Metz 28%
- Draw 30%
- FC Lorient 42%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Lorient, rating it at 42.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and FC Metz won 3 of 8, with 1 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Metz: WWWWD
FC Lorient: WWWLW
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 3.38Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | FC Metz vs FC Lorient | 0–4 |
| 2026-01-04 | FC Lorient vs FC Metz | 1–1 |
| 2024-02-04 | FC Metz vs FC Lorient | 1–2 |
| 2023-11-26 | FC Lorient vs FC Metz | 2–3 |
| 2022-04-20 | FC Lorient vs FC Metz | 1–0 |
| 2021-12-12 | FC Metz vs FC Lorient | 4–1 |
| 2021-05-16 | FC Lorient vs FC Metz | 2–1 |
| 2020-10-04 | FC Metz vs FC Lorient | 3–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Metz vs FC Lorient?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Lorient (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Metz vs FC Lorient kick off?
- Sun, 10 May 2026 19:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the FC Metz vs FC Lorient head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.38 goals per game.