Olympique Lyonnais vs Olympique de Marseille Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sun, 13 Dec 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Olympique Lyonnais44%
- Olympique Lyonnais 44%
- Draw 28%
- Olympique de Marseille 28%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Olympique Lyonnais, rating it at 43.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Olympique Lyonnais won 1 of 10. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Olympique Lyonnais's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Olympique Lyonnais: LWLWW
Olympique de Marseille: WLWWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | Olympique de Marseille vs Olympique Lyonnais | 3–2 |
| 2025-08-31 | Olympique Lyonnais vs Olympique de Marseille | 1–0 |
| 2025-02-02 | Olympique de Marseille vs Olympique Lyonnais | 3–2 |
| 2024-09-22 | Olympique Lyonnais vs Olympique de Marseille | 2–3 |
| 2024-02-04 | Lyonnais vs Marseille | 1–0 |
| 2023-12-06 | Marseille vs Lyonnais | 3–0 |
| 2023-04-23 | Lyonnais vs Marseille | 1–2 |
| 2022-11-06 | Marseille vs Lyonnais | 1–0 |
| 2022-05-01 | Marseille vs Lyonnais | 0–3 |
| 2022-02-01 | Lyonnais vs Marseille | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Olympique Lyonnais vs Olympique de Marseille?
- Tofiko's model favours Olympique Lyonnais (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Olympique Lyonnais vs Olympique de Marseille kick off?
- Sun, 13 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the Olympique Lyonnais vs Olympique de Marseille head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.