Olympique de Marseillevs
Lille OSCOlympique de Marseille vs Lille OSC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sat, 16 Jan 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Olympique de Marseille40%
- Olympique de Marseille 40%
- Draw 31%
- Lille OSC 29%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Olympique de Marseille, rating it at 39.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Olympique de Marseille won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Olympique de Marseille: WLWWW
Lille OSC: WLWLW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.20Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Olympique de Marseille vs Lille OSC | 1–2 |
| 2025-12-05 | Lille OSC vs Olympique de Marseille | 1–0 |
| 2025-05-04 | Lille OSC vs Olympique de Marseille | 1–1 |
| 2024-12-14 | Olympique de Marseille vs Lille OSC | 1–1 |
| 2024-04-05 | Lille OSC vs Marseille | 3–1 |
| 2023-11-04 | Marseille vs Lille OSC | 0–0 |
| 2023-05-20 | Lille OSC vs Marseille | 2–1 |
| 2022-09-10 | Marseille vs Lille OSC | 2–1 |
| 2022-01-16 | Marseille vs Lille OSC | 1–1 |
| 2021-10-03 | Lille OSC vs Marseille | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Olympique de Marseille vs Lille OSC?
- Tofiko's model favours Olympique de Marseille (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Olympique de Marseille vs Lille OSC kick off?
- Sat, 16 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the Olympique de Marseille vs Lille OSC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 4 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.20 goals per game.