Olympique de Marseillevs
FC MetzOlympique de Marseille vs FC Metz Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Fri, 10 Apr 2026 19:05 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Olympique de Marseille 3–1 FC Metz
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Olympique de Marseille71%
- Olympique de Marseille 71%
- Draw 19%
- FC Metz 10%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Olympique de Marseille, rating it at 71.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Olympique de Marseille won 2 of 8, with 5 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 18.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Olympique de Marseille: WLWWW
FC Metz: WWWWD
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | Olympique de Marseille vs FC Metz | 3–1 |
| 2025-10-04 | FC Metz vs Olympique de Marseille | 0–3 |
| 2024-02-09 | Marseille vs FC Metz | 1–1 |
| 2023-08-18 | FC Metz vs Marseille | 2–2 |
| 2022-02-13 | FC Metz vs Marseille | 1–2 |
| 2021-11-07 | Marseille vs FC Metz | 0–0 |
| 2021-05-23 | FC Metz vs Marseille | 1–1 |
| 2020-09-26 | Marseille vs FC Metz | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Olympique de Marseille vs FC Metz?
- Tofiko's model favours Olympique de Marseille (71% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Olympique de Marseille vs FC Metz kick off?
- Fri, 10 Apr 2026 19:05 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the Olympique de Marseille vs FC Metz head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 1 home wins, 5 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.