FC Metz crestFC MetzvsOlympique de Marseille crestOlympique de Marseille

FC Metz 0-3 Olympique de Marseille — Result, H2H & Form

Ligue 1Sat, 04 Oct 2025 15:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Olympique de Marseille59%

Tofiko19% / 22% / 59%
Market15% / 20% / 65%
  • FC Metz
  • Draw
  • Olympique de Marseille

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Olympique de Marseille, rating it at 59.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and FC Metz won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 24 Sep 2026.

FC Metz: DLWDD

Olympique de Marseille: LLLLL

Head-to-head

As of 24 Sep 2026.

  • 8Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-10Olympique de Marseille vs FC Metz3–1
2025-10-04FC Metz vs Olympique de Marseille0–3
2024-02-09Marseille vs FC Metz1–1
2023-08-18FC Metz vs Marseille2–2
2022-02-13FC Metz vs Marseille1–2
2021-11-07Marseille vs FC Metz0–0
2021-05-23FC Metz vs Marseille1–1
2020-09-26Marseille vs FC Metz1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win FC Metz vs Olympique de Marseille?
Tofiko's model favours Olympique de Marseille (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Metz vs Olympique de Marseille kick off?
Sat, 04 Oct 2025 15:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
What is the FC Metz vs Olympique de Marseille head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 1 home wins, 5 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legMarseille 3-1 Metz10 Apr 2026 →