FC Metzvs
Toulouse FCFC Metz 3-4 Toulouse FC — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1Sun, 15 Mar 2026 16:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Toulouse FC47%
Tofiko28% / 25% / 47%
Market25% / 28% / 48%
- FC Metz
- Draw
- Toulouse FC
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Toulouse FC, rating it at 46.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and FC Metz won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
Recent form
As of 24 Sep 2026.
FC Metz: DLWDD
Toulouse FC: WDLDL
Head-to-head
As of 24 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.75Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | FC Metz vs Toulouse FC | 3–4 |
| 2025-10-19 | Toulouse FC vs FC Metz | 4–0 |
| 2024-01-14 | FC Metz vs Toulouse | 0–1 |
| 2023-10-01 | Toulouse vs FC Metz | 3–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Metz vs Toulouse FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Toulouse FC (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Metz vs Toulouse FC kick off?
- Sun, 15 Mar 2026 16:15 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the FC Metz vs Toulouse FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.75 goals per game.