Toulouse FC crestToulouse FCvsFC Metz crestFC Metz

Toulouse FC 4-0 FC Metz — Result, H2H & Form

Ligue 1Sun, 19 Oct 2025 15:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Toulouse FC61%

Tofiko61% / 23% / 17%
Market60% / 23% / 17%
  • Toulouse FC
  • Draw
  • FC Metz

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Toulouse FC, rating it at 60.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Toulouse FC won 2 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

Recent form

As of 24 Sep 2026.

Toulouse FC: WDLDL

FC Metz: DLWDD

Head-to-head

As of 24 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 3.75Avg goals
  • 25%Both scored
  • 75%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-15FC Metz vs Toulouse FC3–4
2025-10-19Toulouse FC vs FC Metz4–0
2024-01-14FC Metz vs Toulouse0–1
2023-10-01Toulouse vs FC Metz3–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Toulouse FC vs FC Metz?
Tofiko's model favours Toulouse FC (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Toulouse FC vs FC Metz kick off?
Sun, 19 Oct 2025 15:15 GMT — Ligue 1.
What is the Toulouse FC vs FC Metz head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.75 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legMetz 3-4 Toulouse15 Mar 2026 →