AS Monaco FC vs Stade Brestois 29 Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sat, 16 Jan 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AS Monaco FC63%
- AS Monaco FC 63%
- Draw 23%
- Stade Brestois 29 14%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick AS Monaco FC, rating it at 63.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and AS Monaco FC won 2 of 10. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 22.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AS Monaco FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
AS Monaco FC: DLWLL
Stade Brestois 29: DLDDL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.70Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | AS Monaco FC vs Stade Brestois 29 | 2–0 |
| 2025-12-05 | Stade Brestois 29(N) vs AS Monaco FC | 1–0 |
| 2025-04-05 | Stade Brestois 29 vs AS Monaco FC | 2–1 |
| 2024-11-22 | AS Monaco FC vs Stade Brestois 29 | 3–2 |
| 2024-04-21 | Stade Brestois vs AS Monaco | 0–2 |
| 2023-11-05 | AS Monaco vs Stade Brestois | 2–0 |
| 2023-02-19 | Stade Brestois vs AS Monaco | 1–2 |
| 2023-01-01 | AS Monaco vs Stade Brestois | 1–0 |
| 2022-05-14 | AS Monaco vs Stade Brestois | 4–2 |
| 2021-10-31 | Stade Brestois vs AS Monaco | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win AS Monaco FC vs Stade Brestois 29?
- Tofiko's model favours AS Monaco FC (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AS Monaco FC vs Stade Brestois 29 kick off?
- Sat, 16 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the AS Monaco FC vs Stade Brestois 29 head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 8 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.