Montpellier HSC 1-4 Paris Saint-Germain FC — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1 2024-2025Sat, 10 May 2025 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Paris Saint-Germain FC72%
- Montpellier HSC
- Draw
- Paris Saint-Germain FC
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Paris Saint-Germain FC, rating it at 71.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Montpellier HSC won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Paris Saint-Germain FC's last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Montpellier HSC's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
Recent form
As of 25 Sep 2026.
Montpellier HSC: DWLDW
Paris Saint-Germain FC: WWWLD
Head-to-head
As of 25 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 4.70Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 90%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-10 | Montpellier HSC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC | 1–4 |
| 2024-08-23 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Montpellier HSC | 6–0 |
| 2024-03-17 | Montpellier HSC vs Paris Saint-Germain | 2–6 |
| 2023-11-03 | Paris Saint-Germain vs Montpellier HSC | 3–0 |
| 2023-02-01 | Montpellier HSC vs Paris Saint-Germain | 1–3 |
| 2022-08-13 | Paris Saint-Germain vs Montpellier HSC | 5–2 |
| 2022-05-14 | Montpellier HSC vs Paris Saint-Germain | 0–4 |
| 2021-09-25 | Paris Saint-Germain vs Montpellier HSC | 2–0 |
| 2021-01-22 | Paris Saint-Germain vs Montpellier HSC | 4–0 |
| 2020-12-05 | Montpellier HSC vs Paris Saint-Germain | 1–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Montpellier HSC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Paris Saint-Germain FC (72% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Montpellier HSC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC kick off?
- Sat, 10 May 2025 19:00 GMT — Ligue 1 2024-2025.
- What is the Montpellier HSC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 0 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 4.70 goals per game.