Montpellier HSC crestMontpellier HSCvsParis Saint-Germain FC crestParis Saint-Germain FC

Montpellier HSC 1-4 Paris Saint-Germain FC — Result, H2H & Form

Ligue 1 2024-2025Sat, 10 May 2025 19:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Paris Saint-Germain FC72%

Tofiko11% / 17% / 72%
Market8% / 12% / 80%
  • Montpellier HSC
  • Draw
  • Paris Saint-Germain FC

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Paris Saint-Germain FC, rating it at 71.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Montpellier HSC won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. Paris Saint-Germain FC's last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Montpellier HSC's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.

Recent form

As of 25 Sep 2026.

Montpellier HSC: DWLDW

Paris Saint-Germain FC: WWWLD

Head-to-head

As of 25 Sep 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 4.70Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 90%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-05-10Montpellier HSC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC1–4
2024-08-23Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Montpellier HSC6–0
2024-03-17Montpellier HSC vs Paris Saint-Germain2–6
2023-11-03Paris Saint-Germain vs Montpellier HSC3–0
2023-02-01Montpellier HSC vs Paris Saint-Germain1–3
2022-08-13Paris Saint-Germain vs Montpellier HSC5–2
2022-05-14Montpellier HSC vs Paris Saint-Germain0–4
2021-09-25Paris Saint-Germain vs Montpellier HSC2–0
2021-01-22Paris Saint-Germain vs Montpellier HSC4–0
2020-12-05Montpellier HSC vs Paris Saint-Germain1–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Montpellier HSC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC?
Tofiko's model favours Paris Saint-Germain FC (72% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Montpellier HSC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC kick off?
Sat, 10 May 2025 19:00 GMT — Ligue 1 2024-2025.
What is the Montpellier HSC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 0 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 4.70 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legParis Saint Germain 6-0 Montpellier23 Aug 2024 →