Paris Saint-Germain FCvs
AJ AuxerreParis Saint-Germain FC vs AJ Auxerre Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sat, 23 Jan 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Paris Saint-Germain FC76%
- Paris Saint-Germain FC 76%
- Draw 16%
- AJ Auxerre 8%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Paris Saint-Germain FC, rating it at 76.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Paris Saint-Germain FC won 3 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 16.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Paris Saint-Germain FC: DLWWD
AJ Auxerre: DLWWW
Head-to-head
- 6Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | AJ Auxerre vs Paris Saint-Germain FC | 0–1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs AJ Auxerre | 2–0 |
| 2025-05-17 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs AJ Auxerre | 3–1 |
| 2024-12-06 | AJ Auxerre vs Paris Saint-Germain FC | 0–0 |
| 2023-05-21 | AJ Auxerre vs Paris Saint-Germain | 1–2 |
| 2022-11-13 | Paris Saint-Germain vs AJ Auxerre | 5–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Paris Saint-Germain FC vs AJ Auxerre?
- Tofiko's model favours Paris Saint-Germain FC (76% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Paris Saint-Germain FC vs AJ Auxerre kick off?
- Sat, 23 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the Paris Saint-Germain FC vs AJ Auxerre head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.