?
Paris Saint-Germain FC crestParis Saint-Germain FCvsParis FC crestParis FC

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Paris FC Prediction, H2H & Stats

Ligue 1Sat, 12 Dec 2026 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Paris Saint-Germain FC73%

Paris Saint-Germain FC 73%
Draw 18%
Paris FC 9%
  • Paris Saint-Germain FC 73%
  • Draw 18%
  • Paris FC 9%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

Track this pick — follow it in My Picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Paris Saint-Germain FC, rating it at 73.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Paris Saint-Germain FC won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 73.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 17.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Paris Saint-Germain FC: DLWWD

Paris FC: LLDWW

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-17Paris FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC2–1
2026-01-04Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Paris FC2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Paris FC?
Tofiko's model favours Paris Saint-Germain FC (73% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Paris FC kick off?
Sat, 12 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
What is the Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Paris FC head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.